"secession"

May. 3rd, 2009 10:25 pm
litch: (Default)
[personal profile] litch
Since our beloved governor with the good hair mentioned secession one of the interesting question for politically active types is texas exercised it's right to split into 5 states, how would that actually effect things.

The inestimable Nate Silver comes to the rescue:
With this map & article:


He predicts that if it happened it would produce a very slightly worse situation for the democrats in the senate and everything else would be a wash. I don't think he takes into account the increased political efficacy that a split would produce in liberals and democrats in "New Texas" and "Gulfland". There are a lot of people in there, particularly in the redder areas, who are just not active because what they do just doesn't matter. Breaking things up would give those people renewed vigor and given demographic trends it would just increase.

Also, doing so would give DC the last oomph it would need to get at least a representative and possibly even a senator.
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