"secession"

May. 3rd, 2009 10:25 pm
litch: (Default)
[personal profile] litch
Since our beloved governor with the good hair mentioned secession one of the interesting question for politically active types is texas exercised it's right to split into 5 states, how would that actually effect things.

The inestimable Nate Silver comes to the rescue:
With this map & article:


He predicts that if it happened it would produce a very slightly worse situation for the democrats in the senate and everything else would be a wash. I don't think he takes into account the increased political efficacy that a split would produce in liberals and democrats in "New Texas" and "Gulfland". There are a lot of people in there, particularly in the redder areas, who are just not active because what they do just doesn't matter. Breaking things up would give those people renewed vigor and given demographic trends it would just increase.

Also, doing so would give DC the last oomph it would need to get at least a representative and possibly even a senator.

Date: 2009-05-04 01:03 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] scorpionis.livejournal.com
I agree. I think if the state were to be split there would be a lot of interstate migration: the blue areas would become bluer and the red areas would become redder, for lack of a better analogy. Only Plainland (what an apt name) and Trinity would remain as the red strongholds. I thought it was extremely astute for them to point out that under this scenario Plainland would become one of if not the most conservative state in the Union.

Date: 2009-05-04 01:35 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] trav23.livejournal.com
and six rows of nine stars would be a lot easier for kids to draw on the flag..

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